Abstract: This article extends the Imbens and Manski and Stoye confidence interval for a partially identified scalar parameter to a vector-valued parameter. The proposed method produces uniformly valid simultaneous confidence intervals for each dimension, or, equivalently, a rectangular confidence region that covers points in the identified set with a specified probability. The method applies when asymptotically normal estimates of upper and lower bounds for each dimension are available. The intervals are computationally simple and fast relative to methods based on test inversion or bootstrapped calibration, and do not suffer from the conservativity of projection-based approaches.

Frandsen, B. R., & Pond, Z. A. (2025). Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 43(1), 232–240. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2024.2356083

Abstract: We provide the first population‐level evidence on intergenerational farm succession by linking US census records for millions of farmers' children in 1900 and 1910 to identify which children own and operate the family farm up to 40 years later. We first show that daughters are rarely successors. Using a within‐family identification strategy, we find that first‐born sons are slightly more likely than their younger brothers to be successors while their parents are working aged. However, birth order is not predictive of who receives the farm when parents are older or deceased. For later farm transfers, sons who were previously tenant farmers are much more likely than their brothers to be successors, possibly because they are better prepared. Fewer than one‐fifth of farmers transfer their farm to any son. 

Haws, A., Just, D. R., & Price, J. (2025). Who (actually) gets the farm? Intergenerational farm succession in the United States. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 107(1), 3–26. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12493

Abstract: As universities seek to innovate to meet the needs of students, compressed courses are becoming more prevalent. This study compares a compressed‐format course to a traditional format course in economics that were each taught in the summer. Results indicate that student performance in a compressed course differs in meaningful ways. Effort‐based assessments show that students in a compressed course perform just as well and, perhaps, better than students in a traditional‐length course. However, assessments measuring mastery of course material indicate performance declines in compressed courses. Student ratings also indicate that students may perceive their experience in a compressed course as being worse than in a traditional format. This article analyzes the differential performance between the two types of courses and provides a discussion regarding possibilities for future compressed course design.

Price, J. A. (2024). Effectiveness of compressed online undergraduate courses. Decision Sciences Journal of Innovative Education, 22(4), 218–232. https://doi.org/10.1111/dsji.12319

Abstract: This article studies the effect of team gender composition and leadership on women's influence in two field experiments. Study 1 finds that male-majority teams accord disproportionately less influence to women and are less likely to choose women to represent the team externally. We replicate this finding in a new context, where we also vary the gender of an assigned team leader. We find that a female leader substantially increases women's influence, even in male-majority teams. With a model of discriminatory voting, we show that either increasing women's share or assigning a female leader decreases the penalty women face by more than 50%.

Karpowitz, C. F., O’Connell, S. D., Preece, J., & Stoddard, O. (2024). Strength in Numbers? Gender Composition, Leadership, and Women’s Influence in Teams. Journal of Political Economy, 132(9), 3077–3114.

Abstract: We conduct a large-scale natural field experiment with a Fortune 500 company to test several light-touch approaches to attract minorities to high-profile positions. A total of 5,000 prospective applicants were randomized into treatments that vary a small portion of recruiting materials. We find that self-selection at two early-career stages exhibits a substantial race gap. We then show that this gap can be strongly influenced by several treatments, with some closing the race gap and increasing application rates of minorities by 40% and others being particularly effective for minority women. These effects are not accompanied by any declines in application rates of majority group job seekers. In addition, we do not find that endorsing the "business case" for diversity reduces the race gap or raises application rates by minorities or women. The heterogeneities we find by gender, race, and career stage shed light on the underlying drivers of self-selection barriers among minorities.

Flory, J. A., Leibbrandt, A., Rott, C., & Stoddard, O. (2024). Leader Signals and “Growth Mindset”: A Natural Field Experiment in Attracting Minorities to High-Profile Positions. Management Science, 70(8), 4953–4973. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4909

Abstract: During the COVID-19 pandemic governments and individuals alike faced incentives to limit the spread of the disease. Our objective is to assess the extent to which government mandates and private actions influenced time allocated to specific activities and the social interactions of individuals. Information on how individuals spent their time before and during the early stages of the pandemic come from the American Time Use Survey (ATUS), which identifies time use for a 24-hour period and includes each individual's activities, locations and companions. We combine the time diary data with data on state-level restrictions from the Kaiser Family Foundation and state-level COVID-19 infection and death rates from Johns Hopkins University. Our findings suggest that private actions in response to reported death rates are comparable to the effects of state-level public mandates on the outcome variables of time alone and time at home.

Cardon, J. H., Eide, E. R., & Showalter, M. H. (2024). Home Alone: Evaluating the Implications of Government Mandates and Disease Prevalence on Time Usage during the Pandemic. Research in Economics, 78(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rie.2024.100952

Abstract: Immigration to Hawai'i between 1870 and 1930 led to a more than six-fold increase in population and high and rapidly varying sex ratios in the Chinese, Japanese, Korean, Filipino, and Caucasian populations of marriageable age. Using complete populations of the 1910, 1920, and 1930 Territorial Censuses of Hawai'i, we estimate how male-biased ethnic sex ratios affected choices of second-generation men and women of marriageable age. Econometric results indicate that within-group and extra-group sex ratios impact the likelihood of males and females to marry, to marry a spouse from another ethnic group, to have children, and to live in larger households.

Halliday, T., La Croix, S., Price, J., & Van Leeuwen, J. (2024). Male-Biased Sex Ratios, Marriage, and Household Composition in Early Twentieth-Century Hawai’i. Australian Economic History Review, 64(1), 113–141.

Abstract: Many claimants of Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) retain legal representation to help with the approval process. The Social Security Administration imposes strict rules on representative compensation. Representatives are only paid if claimants are awarded disability, and they are paid the lesser of 25 percent of the claimant's past due benefits or a pre-specified maximum fee ($7,200 since 2022). Because past due benefits are a function of the number of months claimants wait to be awarded, representatives face incentives to delay case resolution until past due benefits push the representative fees past the fee ceiling. We use difference-in-differences to evaluate how these incentives impact SSDI claimant wait times. After the fee ceiling increased in 2002, average wait times increased by 0.85 months among claimants for whom the fee threshold is more binding, implying a 2.6-5.6 month increase for claimants with representatives. This indicates that the structure of representative compensation does matter for case outcomes, and highlights the importance of interactions with auxiliary agents so common in modern social programs.

Tuttle, C., & Wilson, R. (2024). Representative Compensation and Disability Claimant Outcomes. Journal of Public Economics, 235. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105132

Abstract: This dissertation explores the causes and consequences of inequality and bias in the labor market as well as light-touch solutions to ameliorate those consequences. In Chapter 1 my coauthors and I seek to understand the extent to which beliefs about various groups of people are malleable in the long term through exposure to different types of places. We study this using variation from the location assignments of volunteer missionaries for The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.  In Chapter 2 my coauthors and I study the consequences for evaluating public policy when there are heterogeneous impacts of that policy and when the social planner has distributional preferences over the subjects of the policy. In particular, we study teacher allocations and compare them to the baseline case of using mean-based "value-added" measures.  Chapter 3 describes a field experiment where my coauthor and I explore a light-touch intervention that modifies the language in job postings surrounding required qualifications in order to reduce application gaps for women and other underrepresented individuals. We do so using a large-scale, "reverse audit study" field experiment where we randomize the content of job ads and observe job seeker behavior. 

Eastmond, T. (2024). Essays in Applied Economics. University of California, San Diego. Dissertation.